Back to workEngineering · 2023
Energy Demand Prediction
Electricity demand forecasting for smart-grid planning.
// Repository link coming soon.
01 — The problem
Grid operators need demand forecasts accurate enough to plan capacity without over-provisioning. Under-forecast and you risk outages; over-forecast and you waste money.
02 — The approach
- 01
Engineered features from historical load, seasonality, and weather signals.
- 02
Benchmarked XGBoost against Random Forest and tuned for forecast accuracy on held-out periods.
- 03
Framed outputs around planning decisions, not just error metrics.
03 — Stack
XGBoostRandom ForestPythonpandasscikit-learn
04 — Outcome
92%
Reached 92% forecast accuracy, accurate enough to inform smart-grid capacity planning.